Journal of Food, Agriculture and Environment




Vol 10, Issue 3&4,2012
Online ISSN: 1459-0263
Print ISSN: 1459-0255


Assessing the impact of climate variability on potential evapotranspiration during the past 50 years in North China 


Author(s):

Jing Feng 1, 2, 3, Denghua Yan 2, 3 *, Chuanzhe Li 2, 3, 4, Shujun Bao 2, 3, Yu Gao 1, 2 , 3

Recieved Date: 2012-06-22, Accepted Date: 2012-10-08

Abstract:

Assessing the impact of climate factors on evapotranspiration is helpful in understanding the impact of climate change on hydrological processes. In this paper, based on the daily meteorological observation data of 93 weather stations from 1961 to 2010 within and around the North China, potential evapotranspiration (ET0) was estimated with the FAO Penman-Monteith method. The temporal and spatial variations of ET0 were analyzed by using ARCGIS and Mann-Kendall methods. Based on the standardized regression coefficients, multiple regression analysis was employed to attribute the effects of the variations to ET0. The effects of climatic variables on the variation of ET0 were finally determined by analyzing the trend and the sensitivity rate to ET0. The results showed that average annual potential evapotranspiration of the whole North China is 1096.64 mm, and annual ET0 showed an insignificantly decreasing trend, with significant temporal and spatial variability depending on different stations. In terms of sensitive factors to ET0, the average daily temperature was detected with the most positive sensitivity of the value as 0.557. Moreover, the second most dominant factor was wind speed, with the value of 0.470, followed by relative humidity with the value of -0.338. Trend analysis of meteorological factors exhibited that the reduction in ET0 was principally caused by signicant decrease in relative humidity. The increase of annual sunshine hour and wind speed produced much increase in ET0 rates. The decrease of annual effective rainfall slightly reduced ET0 rates. Furthermore, the combined effects demonstrated an overall negative ET0 trend.

Keywords:

Potential evapotranspiration, trend analysis, climate variability, Penman-Monteith method, North China


Journal: Journal of Food, Agriculture and Environment
Year: 2012
Volume: 10
Issue: 3&4
Category: Environment
Pages: 1392-1398


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